ADBE
AI Execution Plan
Adobe launched Firefly AI Assistant integrated with Anthropic's Claude and new generative AI innovations. Shareholders approved directors, equity plan at 2026 AGM. Analyst consensus: Bullish, avg price target $331.63.
RSI(14): 41-50 (neutral). MACD: mixed (-7 to +0.5, neutral/buy signals). Price below 50-day MA ($253-256) and 200-day MA ($308-323), confirming bearish death cross. Overall: Neutral short-term, bearish longer-term.
3-Month AI Outlook
Bullish potential with AI advancements boosting growth; undervalued vs historical multiples. Analyst targets ~$332 suggest 35% upside. Risks from SaaS sector weakness and AI competition, but Q2 earnings could catalyze rebound.
Option Chain
| Strike | Bid | Ask | IV % | Vol | OI | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $190.0 | 0.14 | 0.18 | 63.2% | 11 | 18 | 2026-04-14 15:22:00 |
| $192.5 | 0.08 | 0.28 | 61.0% | 246 | 149 | 2026-04-14 15:22:01 |
| $195.0 | 0.04 | 0.63 | 64.1% | 286 | 211 | 2026-04-14 15:22:00 |
| $197.5 | 0.08 | 0.25 | 66.8% | 7 | 23 | 2026-04-15 15:22:45 |
| $200.0 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 65.9% | 1 | 7 | 2026-04-15 15:22:42 |
| $202.5 | 0.10 | 0.48 | 65.9% | 9 | 10 | 2026-04-15 15:14:38 |
| $205.0 | 0.11 | 0.61 | 64.9% | 6 | 7 | 2026-04-15 15:22:12 |
| $207.5 | 0.03 | 0.81 | 63.0% | 199 | 55 | 2026-04-15 15:22:37 |
| $210.0 | 0.32 | 0.51 | 59.2% | 15 | 7 | 2026-04-15 15:22:39 |
| $212.5 | 0.25 | 1.06 | 61.2% | 5 | 7 | 2026-04-15 15:22:42 |
| $215.0 | 0.49 | 0.66 | 55.6% | 50 | 46 | 2026-04-15 15:22:39 |
| $217.5 | 0.61 | 0.88 | 55.0% | 64 | 39 | 2026-04-15 15:22:39 |
| $220.0 | 0.73 | 0.99 | 52.8% | 34 | 53 | 2026-04-15 15:22:44 |
| $222.5 | 0.94 | 1.18 | 51.6% | 104 | 24 | 2026-04-15 15:22:42 |
| $225.0 | 1.15 | 1.34 | 49.7% | 51 | 1 | 2026-04-15 15:22:40 |
| $227.5 | 1.44 | 1.89 | 49.9% | 95 | 15 | 2026-04-15 15:22:46 |
| $230.0 | 1.86 | 2.21 | 48.7% | 134 | 6 | 2026-04-15 15:22:46 |
| $232.5 | 2.35 | 2.77 | 48.2% | 76 | 28 | 2026-04-15 15:22:43 |
| $235.0 | 2.88 | 3.35 | 47.2% | 67 | 14 | 2026-04-15 15:22:39 |
| $237.5 | 3.66 | 4.18 | 47.2% | 67 | 26 | 2026-04-15 15:22:39 |
| $240.0 | 4.43 | 4.91 | 45.9% | 64 | 12 | 2026-04-15 15:22:41 |
| $242.5 | 5.37 | 6.15 | 46.1% | 30 | 8 | 2026-04-15 15:22:40 |
| $245.0 | 6.62 | 7.12 | 45.5% | 9 | 14 | 2026-04-15 15:22:42 |
| $247.5 | 7.57 | 8.67 | 44.9% | 205 | 189 | 2026-04-15 15:22:42 |
| $250.0 | 8.86 | 9.83 | 43.2% | 204 | 12 | 2026-04-15 15:22:45 |
| $252.5 | 10.37 | 11.95 | 44.5% | 13 | 38 | 2026-04-15 15:22:42 |
| $255.0 | 11.99 | 13.57 | 43.6% | 10 | 8 | 2026-04-15 15:22:10 |
| $257.5 | 13.57 | 17.28 | 49.7% | 8 | 73 | 2026-04-15 15:22:37 |
| $260.0 | 15.51 | 18.13 | 45.2% | 52 | 11 | 2026-04-15 15:22:44 |
| $262.5 | 17.33 | 21.91 | 52.2% | 43 | 95 | 2026-04-15 15:22:46 |
| $265.0 | 18.96 | 24.78 | 54.1% | 35 | 93 | 2026-04-15 15:22:33 |
| $267.5 | 20.73 | 25.10 | 40.9% | 39 | 45 | 2026-04-15 15:22:44 |
| $270.0 | 23.56 | 29.31 | 57.4% | 34 | 40 | 2026-04-15 15:22:34 |
| $275.0 | 28.46 | 33.54 | 59.1% | 32 | 38 | 2026-04-15 15:22:36 |
| $280.0 | 32.56 | 37.81 | 51.5% | 28 | 35 | 2026-04-15 15:22:33 |
| $285.0 | 38.46 | 43.81 | 73.8% | 26 | 36 | 2026-04-15 15:22:33 |
| $290.0 | 42.27 | 47.72 | 56.5% | 32 | 37 | 2026-04-15 15:22:41 |
| $295.0 | 47.75 | 52.92 | 71.1% | 26 | 31 | 2026-04-15 15:22:33 |
| $300.0 | 54.37 | 57.94 | 91.8% | 26 | 36 | 2026-04-15 15:22:33 |
| $305.0 | 57.37 | 64.49 | 93.5% | 26 | 33 | 2026-04-15 15:22:33 |
| $310.0 | 62.88 | 71.57 | 69.1% | 34 | 28 | 2026-04-15 10:22:14 |
| $315.0 | 69.01 | 72.09 | 96.1% | 32 | 38 | 2026-04-15 15:22:38 |
| $320.0 | 72.83 | 77.44 | 89.3% | 29 | 36 | 2026-04-15 15:22:12 |
| $330.0 | 83.28 | 90.89 | 59.0% | 33 | 6 | 2026-04-15 10:22:16 |
| Strike | Bid | Ask | IV % | Vol | OI | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $185.0 | 48.78 | 53.59 | 86.3% | 27 | 27 | 2026-04-14 15:20:57 |
| $187.5 | 50.17 | 53.56 | 81.5% | 39 | 46 | 2026-04-13 15:31:10 |
| $190.0 | 49.65 | 56.75 | 86.5% | 32 | 32 | 2026-04-15 10:22:07 |
| $192.5 | 48.10 | 53.66 | 88.5% | 29 | 26 | 2026-04-15 10:22:03 |
| $195.0 | 47.20 | 49.56 | 84.3% | 43 | 26 | 2026-04-15 10:22:03 |
| $197.5 | 42.65 | 48.47 | 69.2% | 32 | 32 | 2026-04-15 10:22:06 |
| $200.0 | 45.13 | 46.00 | 72.7% | 32 | 32 | 2026-04-15 15:22:33 |
| $202.5 | 42.61 | 44.66 | 83.7% | 5 | 32 | 2026-04-15 15:22:45 |
| $205.0 | 36.08 | 40.35 | 63.6% | 32 | 32 | 2026-04-15 10:22:08 |
| $207.5 | 32.19 | 38.50 | 41.4% | 31 | 26 | 2026-04-15 10:22:03 |
| $210.0 | 33.39 | 37.92 | 60.3% | 253 | 65 | 2026-04-15 15:22:39 |
| $212.5 | 27.98 | 34.79 | 65.6% | 31 | 26 | 2026-04-15 10:22:03 |
| $215.0 | 25.32 | 32.27 | 59.8% | 40 | 31 | 2026-04-15 10:22:03 |
| $217.5 | 23.52 | 29.91 | 61.5% | 34 | 27 | 2026-04-15 10:22:03 |
| $220.0 | 23.28 | 27.37 | 35.0% | 193 | 35 | 2026-04-15 15:21:37 |
| $222.5 | 20.68 | 25.86 | 43.6% | 69 | 37 | 2026-04-15 15:22:44 |
| $225.0 | 18.19 | 23.07 | 37.0% | 227 | 46 | 2026-04-15 15:22:39 |
| $227.5 | 15.57 | 21.32 | 38.4% | 196 | 45 | 2026-04-15 15:22:12 |
| $230.0 | 16.71 | 19.08 | 54.6% | 16 | 120 | 2026-04-15 15:22:45 |
| $232.5 | 14.76 | 16.40 | 50.7% | 75 | 74 | 2026-04-15 15:22:40 |
| $235.0 | 13.44 | 14.38 | 51.6% | 8 | 98 | 2026-04-15 15:22:42 |
| $237.5 | 11.26 | 12.56 | 49.1% | 44 | 146 | 2026-04-15 15:22:44 |
| $240.0 | 9.56 | 10.33 | 46.3% | 48 | 2 | 2026-04-15 15:22:46 |
| $242.5 | 8.15 | 9.08 | 47.0% | 81 | 13 | 2026-04-15 15:22:40 |
| $245.0 | 6.70 | 7.80 | 46.5% | 52 | 269 | 2026-04-15 15:22:39 |
| $247.5 | 5.73 | 6.38 | 46.3% | 9 | 5 | 2026-04-15 15:22:43 |
| $250.0 | 4.57 | 5.13 | 45.0% | 22 | 28 | 2026-04-15 15:22:42 |
| $252.5 | 3.64 | 4.07 | 44.2% | 23 | 22 | 2026-04-15 15:22:37 |
| $255.0 | 2.98 | 3.42 | 44.9% | 10 | 83 | 2026-04-15 15:22:39 |
| $257.5 | 2.24 | 2.97 | 45.3% | 27 | 220 | 2026-04-15 15:22:41 |
| $260.0 | 1.66 | 2.05 | 43.3% | 66 | 39 | 2026-04-15 15:22:44 |
| $262.5 | 1.19 | 1.68 | 43.3% | 237 | 20 | 2026-04-15 15:22:33 |
| $265.0 | 0.94 | 1.23 | 43.2% | 62 | 67 | 2026-04-15 15:22:42 |
| $267.5 | 0.67 | 1.05 | 43.7% | 80 | 79 | 2026-04-15 15:22:37 |
| $270.0 | 0.53 | 0.86 | 44.5% | 29 | 278 | 2026-04-15 15:22:42 |
| $275.0 | 0.31 | 0.50 | 45.0% | 167 | 28 | 2026-04-15 15:22:40 |
| $280.0 | 0.23 | 0.33 | 47.1% | 1 | 1 | 2026-04-15 15:21:50 |
| $285.0 | 0.12 | 0.38 | 51.1% | 1 | 126 | 2026-04-15 15:22:35 |
| $290.0 | 0.03 | 0.23 | 50.4% | 72 | 72 | 2026-04-15 15:22:40 |
| $300.0 | 0.02 | 0.12 | 54.3% | 1 | 1 | 2026-04-15 15:22:33 |
| $320.0 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 64.0% | 20 | 76 | 2026-04-15 15:22:42 |
Earnings History: ADBE
Adobe Reports Record Q4 and FY2025 Revenue
Dec 10, 2025In the fourth quarter of FY2025, Adobe achieved record revenue of $6.19 billion, marking a 10% increase year-over-year. The company's net income was $1.86 billion, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) at $4.45 on a GAAP basis and $5.50 on a non-GAAP basis. Additionally, Adobe reported strong cash flows from operations of $3.16 billion during the quarter. The company ended the quarter with Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) at $22.52 billion, while Current Remaining Performance Obligations (cRPO) were at 65%. For the full fiscal year 2025, Adobe's total revenue was $23.77 billion, reflecting an 11% growth year-over-year. The company also repurchased approximately 7.2 million shares in Q4 and a total of 30.8 million shares throughout the year. Looking ahead, Adobe aims for double-digit Annualized Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth in FY2026 and anticipates total revenue for FY2026 to be between $25.90 billion and $26.10 billion.
Adobe Reports Record Revenue in Q2 and Raises FY25 Guidance
Jun 12, 2025Adobe reported record revenue of $5.87 billion for its second quarter of fiscal year 2025, marking an 11% year-over-year growth. The company achieved a GAAP net income of $1.69 billion, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.94 on a GAAP basis and $5.06 on a non-GAAP basis. The Digital Media segment contributed $4.35 billion in revenue, reflecting an 11% increase from the previous year, while the Digital Experience segment brought in $1.46 billion, also up 10% year-over-year. Adobe's Annualized Recurring Revenue (ARR) for Digital Media reached $18.09 billion, indicating a growth of 12.1% year-over-year. In terms of cash flow, Adobe generated $2.19 billion from operations during the quarter. Additionally, the company repurchased approximately 8.6 million shares, reinforcing its commitment to returning value to shareholders. Looking ahead, Adobe has raised its fiscal year 2025 revenue target to between $23.50 billion and $23.60 billion. The updated guidance for GAAP diluted EPS for the year is now set between $16.30 and $16.50, reflecting the company’s strong performance and ongoing investments in AI and innovation.
Strategy Overview
Jason Wheel is a systematic, AI‑enhanced trading framework built on probability theory and volatility‑based edge extraction. Designed for the US options market, the system focuses on constructing high‑probability Credit Spread strategies that capture Theta decay while maintaining strict quantitative risk controls to mitigate tail events and support long‑term, stable capital growth.
Rather than relying on directional speculation, the system operates as a closed‑loop asset engine integrating: Macro Risk Control, Multi-dimensional Quantitative Screening, AI-Assisted Decision Making, and Dynamic Position Management.
This architecture enables consistent, rules‑driven execution with an emphasis on risk‑adjusted returns.
Connect with Jason
- Substack: jasonwheel.substack.com
- Email: [email protected]