ASML

ASML Holding NV | Semiconductors
$1415.2
Data as of: 2026-04-16 14:37:39
ER: 2026-04-15
AI Execution Plan
Entry
$1415.00
Target
$1520.00
Stop
$1370.00
STRATEGY NOTEBuy the dip
Fundamental Snapshot
Market Cap
485,121M
P/E Ratio
51.05
Beta
1.76
ROE (TTM)
52.1%
Div Yield
0.61%
Next Earnings
2026-04-15
AI News

ASML beat Q1 2026 earnings: Net sales €8.8B (beat est.), Net income €2.8B, EPS €7.15-7.35 (beat). Raised 2026 revenue guidance to €36-40B on strong AI demand & EUV backlog. Gross margin 53% (high end). Stock down ~4.5% today on profit-taking despite beats. Analysts upbeat: RBC PT to $1700, avg target ~$1550. China export curbs noted but long-term positive.

Sentiment
"Mostly positive long-term. Users bullish on AI-driven EUV demand (sold out to 2027), earnings beat, raised guidance. Short-term dip post-earnings seen as 'buying opportunity'/'discount on monopoly'. Some note high valuation & put/call skew, but fundamentals praised (e.g., 'ASML still cheap')."

Daily: Overall Neutral. Moving Averages: Strong Buy (10 Buy, 2 Sell - most MAs above price). Technical Indicators: Strong Sell (RSI(14): 48.89 Neutral, MACD: Sell, Stochastic: Sell). Price testing support near MA20/50.

3-Month AI Outlook

Bullish. Robust AI chip demand, EUV tools backlog thru 2027, raised FY26 rev €36-40B. Analyst consensus Strong Buy, avg PT $1550+ (10% upside). Risks: China curbs, valuation premium narrowing. Expect rebound to new highs.

Option Chain
Expiry:
StrikeBidAskIV %VolOITime
$1,130.00.520.7876.1%112026-04-15 15:38:05
$1,140.00.074.7890.5%7112026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,145.00.031.1369.3%10122026-04-15 10:28:14
$1,150.00.321.0769.9%10382026-04-15 10:28:36
$1,155.00.580.8869.3%192026-04-15 10:28:04
$1,160.00.085.0886.3%36402026-04-15 15:43:06
$1,165.00.330.9265.6%32292026-04-15 10:28:49
$1,170.00.635.4886.4%782026-04-15 15:43:06
$1,175.00.785.5885.8%7112026-04-15 15:43:06
$1,180.00.034.7680.1%12132026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,185.00.935.9984.6%11122026-04-15 15:43:06
$1,190.00.134.4577.0%24332026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,195.00.872.2870.9%1122026-04-15 15:43:06
$1,200.01.172.4771.5%3382026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,205.00.821.9364.3%6102026-04-15 10:28:29
$1,210.02.035.3679.0%1422026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,215.00.074.7671.4%2172026-04-15 15:43:08
$1,220.02.033.3771.7%17142026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,225.01.373.7369.7%3212026-04-15 15:43:08
$1,230.02.136.3576.0%32472026-04-15 15:43:08
$1,235.00.087.6773.2%53382026-04-15 15:43:08
$1,240.02.855.1172.3%37422026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,245.03.185.3372.0%12152026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,250.01.775.1367.5%24182026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,255.01.988.4772.7%17222026-04-15 15:43:08
$1,260.04.277.9174.0%9342026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,265.03.969.1273.9%30462026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,270.04.787.3771.2%9262026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,275.04.929.7573.3%18322026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,280.05.638.5571.1%10182026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,285.06.0610.6873.0%9492026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,290.05.658.6268.4%30292026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,295.06.4112.2272.2%1192026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,300.07.879.4869.2%6122026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,305.07.6512.5870.9%11252026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,310.08.6613.2271.1%11202026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,315.08.9915.2371.9%9142026-04-15 15:43:06
$1,320.010.2515.9072.1%9152026-04-15 15:43:06
$1,325.010.1514.7369.3%7202026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,330.010.9915.7969.5%982026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,335.010.7016.1867.9%11122026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,340.012.3516.5968.1%11132026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,345.011.4518.2867.1%4132026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,350.014.2620.0069.1%2242026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,352.513.8420.2468.1%15112026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,355.014.3320.8968.1%5332026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,357.514.5521.9668.3%3192026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,360.015.7622.2068.5%7162026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,362.515.3222.3667.4%1162026-04-15 15:43:06
$1,365.016.8023.0668.1%9262026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,370.018.2024.9968.7%6192026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,375.018.9625.8868.1%8112026-04-15 15:43:06
$1,380.020.3223.7165.6%1422026-04-15 15:43:07
$1,385.021.8628.8568.3%942026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,390.023.6330.1368.4%472026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,395.024.5030.6067.3%8192026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,400.027.1133.1068.5%2242026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,405.026.6034.5067.0%6252026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,407.527.1735.5867.0%452026-04-15 15:43:07
$1,410.028.4336.0267.0%6162026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,412.529.7636.3466.9%7102026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,415.029.2138.3066.7%7142026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,417.530.7237.9566.3%572026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,420.031.4538.2065.8%3152026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,422.532.2239.6466.1%452026-04-15 15:43:07
$1,425.033.9241.5667.1%7112026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,427.534.1342.2166.5%372026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,430.034.8443.4766.5%492026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,435.036.7944.7566.0%2202026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,440.040.8647.2667.4%1212026-04-15 15:43:08
$1,445.041.6148.8466.3%8252026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,450.041.7649.9964.6%4262026-04-15 15:43:08
$1,455.046.1852.6666.1%362026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,460.048.2354.8265.8%2142026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,465.050.1257.8365.9%1172026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,470.051.4060.2565.2%6122026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,475.054.8363.2666.0%882026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,480.055.6164.5264.3%772026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,485.056.9469.2064.7%10132026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,490.060.6070.2164.3%8202026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,495.064.2373.9165.2%772026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,500.067.0375.3664.5%8152026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,505.070.5077.6664.4%8252026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,510.072.9781.9864.9%372026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,515.075.7383.5063.9%832026-04-15 15:43:06
$1,520.080.7387.0565.2%392026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,525.082.6790.1364.5%372026-04-15 15:43:08
$1,530.085.1893.1364.0%412026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,535.088.1299.0065.3%622026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,540.091.0099.4563.3%342026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,545.093.83104.2163.8%242026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,550.099.52108.6165.7%1072026-04-15 15:43:08
$1,555.099.17114.2264.6%532026-04-15 15:43:06
$1,560.0104.35118.7266.2%772026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,565.0109.36120.6266.0%522026-04-15 15:43:06
$1,570.0111.72126.6966.7%332026-04-15 15:42:56
$1,575.0115.28127.5764.9%362026-04-15 15:43:06
$1,580.0119.94132.8466.4%652026-04-15 15:43:06
$1,585.0123.32135.4365.4%132026-04-15 15:43:07
$1,590.0125.01143.0566.4%642026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,595.0129.24147.0166.7%612026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,600.0134.57149.9567.0%1182026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,610.0142.64159.7968.4%512026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,620.0151.88166.6368.4%552026-04-15 15:43:06
$1,630.0160.02175.0568.4%522026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,640.0172.43183.7271.9%662026-04-15 15:43:06
$1,650.0178.12191.0568.7%662026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,660.0190.02198.5070.6%552026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,670.0200.54211.0275.6%552026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,680.0205.98222.5175.3%212026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,690.0216.25228.0373.6%212026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,700.0221.04238.0570.4%212026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,710.0234.11246.9374.6%752026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,720.0244.98254.7775.3%262026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,730.0254.13264.2375.7%772026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,740.0263.14278.4281.5%662026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,750.0274.11280.0374.2%232026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,760.0284.10297.8386.0%622026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,770.0291.43299.8673.5%212026-04-15 15:43:06
$1,780.0302.54307.7373.6%552026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,790.0312.57326.2688.1%662026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,800.0317.81332.8377.7%552026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,810.0332.28345.0289.8%652026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,820.0332.27351.5863.7%762026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,830.0341.11368.6781.2%152026-04-15 15:43:08
$1,840.0363.94367.6086.2%662026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,860.0374.52387.1350.0%212026-04-15 15:43:06
$1,880.0412.32426.3890.7%242026-04-15 10:27:24
$1,900.0433.64450.96105.2%332026-04-15 10:27:40
$1,920.0429.50457.0587.6%112026-04-15 15:43:09
StrikeBidAskIV %VolOITime
$1,070.0342.85351.9165.7%222026-04-16 14:36:06
$1,080.0383.49384.2273.3%242026-04-15 10:27:40
$1,090.0319.78339.5897.0%352026-04-16 14:36:28
$1,095.0318.93328.4687.2%322026-04-16 14:36:29
$1,105.0306.81319.4678.0%322026-04-16 14:36:14
$1,115.0293.84316.0191.4%352026-04-16 14:36:35
$1,120.0339.78349.5980.4%252026-04-15 10:28:14
$1,125.0331.39350.6590.8%342026-04-15 10:27:24
$1,130.0332.15344.42101.9%322026-04-15 10:27:24
$1,135.0324.44334.0770.7%522026-04-15 10:28:04
$1,140.0275.08287.3891.3%11112026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,145.0268.79281.0782.7%772026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,150.0312.63314.8544.3%232026-04-15 10:28:14
$1,155.0258.02267.0052.4%1182026-04-16 14:36:29
$1,160.0251.42265.2266.1%772026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,165.0249.35257.0663.6%322026-04-16 14:36:14
$1,170.0290.74299.9274.2%992026-04-15 10:28:36
$1,175.0235.12250.2953.6%722026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,180.0231.40247.8371.0%772026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,185.0225.06240.6754.2%6112026-04-16 14:36:29
$1,190.0268.38280.7762.4%872026-04-15 10:28:43
$1,195.0280.03293.7580.9%622026-04-15 15:43:09
$1,200.0212.03228.7469.5%772026-04-16 14:36:30
$1,205.0206.20219.8051.3%772026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,210.0204.65214.3962.2%662026-04-16 14:36:29
$1,215.0202.26206.2259.2%662026-04-16 14:36:29
$1,220.0194.17205.7061.6%772026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,225.0235.96245.2762.6%882026-04-15 10:28:36
$1,230.0180.96197.6555.6%772026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,235.0175.43192.6452.7%11112026-04-16 14:36:29
$1,240.0175.18187.2861.5%772026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,245.0168.40176.5629.7%1282026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,250.0164.92172.6647.3%23202026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,255.0157.27169.3342.5%11112026-04-16 14:36:29
$1,260.0155.03167.5755.9%662026-04-16 14:36:29
$1,265.0149.28159.4546.6%772026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,270.0146.47157.9755.9%1162026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,275.0141.86149.5449.4%16142026-04-16 14:37:21
$1,280.0137.68144.6049.5%772026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,285.0133.62140.7351.2%772026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,290.0128.62137.0951.5%10102026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,295.0125.34129.4448.7%11112026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,300.0119.84126.0248.6%13112026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,305.0119.10121.2352.3%11112026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,310.0114.47120.1655.1%11112026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,315.0111.20114.0153.9%10102026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,320.0106.18110.0353.0%1052026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,325.0100.52104.0349.7%5122026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,330.095.8499.2548.4%1052026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,335.092.5296.8850.3%11112026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,340.088.6793.3550.6%1062026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,345.086.1390.6852.4%13262026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,350.081.9184.6350.2%20242026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,352.579.3282.7249.5%1572026-04-16 14:37:21
$1,355.078.5480.5050.0%12132026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,357.577.7079.6051.3%11102026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,360.075.9479.0452.1%11142026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,362.573.5676.3451.0%11122026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,365.072.2875.6451.9%3122026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,370.066.5671.7750.0%33132026-04-16 14:37:21
$1,375.064.5867.6950.3%1592026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,380.060.2963.1448.7%11112026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,385.058.4661.6550.5%21212026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,390.054.1858.1949.4%15222026-04-16 14:37:20
$1,395.052.7354.4349.8%16112026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,400.048.8152.9049.9%15182026-04-16 14:37:20
$1,405.047.1949.2950.0%20172026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,407.544.9548.6549.9%20132026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,410.042.9446.5048.9%15132026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,412.541.6945.4249.1%19182026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,415.040.4743.1248.5%25162026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,417.539.4941.6848.5%2412026-04-16 14:37:20
$1,420.038.1040.5748.4%14122026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,422.537.8639.3348.9%17132026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,425.035.8739.0649.0%28102026-04-16 14:37:21
$1,427.535.1037.3948.9%27152026-04-16 14:37:20
$1,430.033.5236.5848.8%31182026-04-16 14:37:21
$1,435.032.0034.4949.2%20162026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,440.030.6232.5949.6%14142026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,445.028.4030.9349.7%21182026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,450.026.1627.7448.6%19162026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,455.024.5527.1649.5%15192026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,460.022.7624.2148.6%16152026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,465.021.5124.1649.8%31192026-04-16 14:37:21
$1,470.019.6022.1249.2%17282026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,475.018.6620.0649.2%16282026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,480.016.7718.4548.6%37192026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,485.015.9917.5549.3%20132026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,490.014.9916.5949.6%14192026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,495.014.2315.7250.1%11162026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,500.013.0814.7650.2%6222026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,505.011.8313.1549.5%20162026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,510.011.0012.6150.0%34112026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,515.010.3111.7850.2%26142026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,520.09.5010.4549.8%23132026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,525.08.9510.1850.5%26162026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,530.08.269.8951.0%35152026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,535.07.879.6251.8%1062026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,540.06.818.4550.9%43112026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,545.06.387.8251.1%19162026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,550.05.987.6551.7%39172026-04-16 14:37:21
$1,555.05.777.5052.6%8102026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,560.05.367.0752.9%6102026-04-16 14:37:21
$1,565.04.926.8453.3%12102026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,570.04.285.8552.4%43292026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,575.04.226.0053.7%5102026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,580.04.075.6654.1%2102026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,585.03.464.8353.2%51232026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,590.03.264.8554.0%5122026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,595.03.124.7854.7%3102026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,600.02.644.6354.8%42412026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,610.02.434.2755.9%5102026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,620.01.883.6655.7%1842026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,630.01.673.5256.9%5102026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,640.01.333.3257.6%12142026-04-16 14:36:31
$1,650.01.582.9759.3%2152026-04-16 14:37:20
$1,660.01.032.7859.2%16242026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,670.01.182.5960.9%8122026-04-16 14:37:20
$1,680.00.621.8858.5%21112026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,690.00.832.2762.3%12102026-04-16 14:35:58
$1,700.01.071.7863.1%812026-04-16 14:37:17
$1,710.00.781.9364.3%252026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,720.00.521.8264.4%552026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,730.00.581.8366.3%25262026-04-16 14:37:21
$1,740.00.431.6866.5%8162026-04-16 14:37:13
$1,750.00.431.5867.6%12102026-04-16 14:37:20
$1,760.00.331.5268.3%32102026-04-16 14:37:20
$1,770.00.131.3867.9%5102026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,780.00.824.7867.6%1172026-04-15 15:43:08
$1,800.00.230.7368.1%33262026-04-16 14:37:19
$1,860.00.120.9276.8%1452026-04-16 14:37:19
$2,020.00.070.1368.4%222026-04-15 15:33:20
Earnings History: ASML
ASML Reports Strong 2025 Results with €32.7 Billion in Sales
Jan 28, 2026

ASML reported total net sales of €32.7 billion for the full year 2025, with a net income of €9.6 billion and an earnings per share (EPS) of €24.73. In the fourth quarter alone, the company achieved net sales of €9.7 billion, a gross margin of 52.2%, and a net income of €2.8 billion. In Q4, ASML secured quarterly net bookings of €13.2 billion, with €7.4 billion attributed to Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) systems. The total backlog at the end of 2025 reached €38.8 billion, indicating strong future demand. ASML anticipates Q1 2026 total net sales to be between €8.2 billion and €8.9 billion, maintaining a gross margin of 51% to 53%. For the full year 2026, the company expects total net sales to fall between €34 billion and €39 billion, also with a similar gross margin outlook. Additionally, ASML has initiated a new share buyback program of up to €12 billion, set to be completed by December 31, 2028. The company is also focusing on enhancing its engineering and innovation capabilities by streamlining its Technology and IT organizations.

ASML Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results with €7.5 Billion in Sales
Oct 15, 2025

In Q3 2025, ASML achieved total net sales of €7.5 billion, with a net income of €2.1 billion and a gross margin of 51.6%. The company's earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter stood at €5.49. Additionally, ASML recorded net bookings of €5.4 billion during the quarter, which included €3.6 billion from EUV (Extreme Ultraviolet) systems. Looking ahead, ASML expects Q4 2025 total net sales to be between €9.2 billion and €9.8 billion, while maintaining a gross margin between 51% and 53%. On the technology front, ASML has made significant progress with its new product, the TWINSCAN XT:260, aimed at Advanced Packaging, which offers increased productivity. The company also plans to spend around €1.2 billion on research and development (R&D) in the upcoming quarter. Furthermore, ASML announced an interim dividend of €1.60 per ordinary share, expected to be paid on November 6, 2025. In Q3, the company repurchased approximately €148 million worth of shares as part of its ongoing share buyback program.

About Jason Wheel

Substack Email
Strategy Overview

Jason Wheel is a systematic, AI‑enhanced trading framework built on probability theory and volatility‑based edge extraction. Designed for the US options market, the system focuses on constructing high‑probability Credit Spread strategies that capture Theta decay while maintaining strict quantitative risk controls to mitigate tail events and support long‑term, stable capital growth.

Rather than relying on directional speculation, the system operates as a closed‑loop asset engine integrating: Macro Risk Control, Multi-dimensional Quantitative Screening, AI-Assisted Decision Making, and Dynamic Position Management.

This architecture enables consistent, rules‑driven execution with an emphasis on risk‑adjusted returns.

Connect with Jason