RCL
AI Execution Plan
Upcoming earnings preview shows strong demand but challenges from rising costs, fuel prices, and geopolitics. Analysts bullish: Avg target $354 (high $425), recent PTs JPM $341, Barclays $351 (Overweight), Bernstein Buy.
RSI ~49.6 (neutral), MACD -5.24 (bearish), support $262, resistance $282. Mixed/neutral signals on daily timeframe per Investing.com, TipRanks, Chartmill.
3-Month AI Outlook
Bullish. Robust cruise demand, earnings growth projected despite headwinds. Analyst consensus targets imply 25%+ upside from current levels.
Option Chain
| Strike | Bid | Ask | IV % | Vol | OI | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $220.0 | 0.22 | 0.98 | 79.9% | 11 | 47 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $225.0 | 0.28 | 0.97 | 74.2% | 7 | 14 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $230.0 | 0.37 | 1.12 | 70.5% | 8 | 60 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $242.5 | 1.03 | 2.22 | 66.7% | 8 | 14 | 2026-04-13 15:27:15 |
| $245.0 | 1.37 | 2.68 | 67.4% | 6 | 42 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $247.5 | 1.68 | 2.45 | 64.1% | 6 | 8 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $250.0 | 1.73 | 2.58 | 61.2% | 8 | 6 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $252.5 | 1.98 | 2.92 | 60.0% | 7 | 6 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $255.0 | 2.53 | 3.33 | 60.0% | 7 | 5 | 2026-04-13 15:27:15 |
| $257.5 | 2.68 | 3.87 | 58.5% | 5 | 5 | 2026-04-13 15:27:12 |
| $260.0 | 3.24 | 5.02 | 60.2% | 6 | 5 | 2026-04-13 15:26:57 |
| $262.5 | 3.87 | 5.00 | 57.7% | 6 | 5 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $265.0 | 4.36 | 5.56 | 56.3% | 6 | 5 | 2026-04-13 15:26:54 |
| $267.5 | 5.38 | 7.06 | 58.8% | 22 | 6 | 2026-04-13 15:27:11 |
| $270.0 | 5.96 | 8.02 | 57.9% | 1 | 17 | 2026-04-13 15:27:10 |
| $272.5 | 6.81 | 9.19 | 57.9% | 18 | 6 | 2026-04-13 15:27:11 |
| $275.0 | 8.35 | 9.80 | 57.7% | 4 | 19 | 2026-04-13 15:27:20 |
| $277.5 | 9.27 | 10.76 | 56.4% | 6 | 7 | 2026-04-13 15:26:53 |
| $280.0 | 9.93 | 12.09 | 54.9% | 1 | 18 | 2026-04-13 15:27:13 |
| $282.5 | 11.64 | 13.07 | 54.8% | 9 | 7 | 2026-04-13 15:27:12 |
| $285.0 | 12.92 | 15.32 | 56.4% | 5 | 7 | 2026-04-13 15:27:14 |
| $287.5 | 14.74 | 16.14 | 55.2% | 7 | 6 | 2026-04-13 15:26:57 |
| $290.0 | 15.73 | 17.96 | 53.9% | 23 | 17 | 2026-04-13 15:27:11 |
| $292.5 | 17.08 | 19.31 | 51.7% | 13 | 17 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $295.0 | 19.25 | 21.07 | 52.6% | 22 | 16 | 2026-04-13 15:26:53 |
| $297.5 | 20.82 | 24.02 | 55.0% | 14 | 12 | 2026-04-13 15:25:35 |
| $300.0 | 23.18 | 25.78 | 55.8% | 7 | 21 | 2026-04-13 15:27:11 |
| $302.5 | 25.41 | 27.97 | 57.3% | 5 | 5 | 2026-04-13 15:22:13 |
| $305.0 | 27.16 | 29.92 | 56.0% | 11 | 51 | 2026-04-13 15:27:17 |
| $307.5 | 28.64 | 32.51 | 55.4% | 11 | 11 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $310.0 | 31.43 | 34.65 | 58.1% | 12 | 32 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $312.5 | 32.90 | 37.07 | 56.0% | 7 | 9 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $315.0 | 35.44 | 39.50 | 58.5% | 5 | 7 | 2026-04-13 15:26:53 |
| $317.5 | 37.30 | 41.77 | 56.5% | 8 | 8 | 2026-04-13 15:27:08 |
| $320.0 | 39.70 | 44.25 | 58.3% | 10 | 15 | 2026-04-13 15:26:56 |
| $322.5 | 41.80 | 46.48 | 56.4% | 8 | 8 | 2026-04-13 15:27:02 |
| $325.0 | 45.22 | 49.12 | 65.5% | 7 | 8 | 2026-04-13 15:26:57 |
| $327.5 | 47.41 | 50.62 | 59.0% | 7 | 7 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $330.0 | 50.21 | 52.25 | 56.0% | 13 | 10 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $335.0 | 54.86 | 57.42 | 58.0% | 6 | 9 | 2026-04-13 15:26:25 |
| $340.0 | 60.48 | 62.23 | 66.7% | 5 | 6 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $345.0 | 64.66 | 69.41 | 82.0% | 6 | 6 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $350.0 | 69.33 | 73.54 | 76.2% | 1 | 7 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $355.0 | 75.27 | 77.76 | 81.6% | 6 | 7 | 2026-04-13 15:27:19 |
| $360.0 | 79.60 | 83.55 | 86.6% | 1 | 7 | 2026-04-13 15:26:54 |
| Strike | Bid | Ask | IV % | Vol | OI | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $200.0 | 76.15 | 82.26 | 77.2% | 7 | 7 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $220.0 | 58.59 | 61.26 | 83.8% | 7 | 7 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $225.0 | 53.56 | 56.63 | 80.6% | 8 | 8 | 2026-04-13 15:27:19 |
| $227.5 | 50.25 | 53.54 | 59.3% | 7 | 7 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $230.0 | 47.88 | 50.67 | 50.4% | 8 | 8 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $232.5 | 46.31 | 48.17 | 63.5% | 8 | 8 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $235.0 | 43.89 | 45.85 | 63.1% | 19 | 8 | 2026-04-13 15:27:02 |
| $237.5 | 40.08 | 44.25 | 55.7% | 8 | 9 | 2026-04-13 15:26:55 |
| $240.0 | 38.76 | 42.20 | 66.1% | 59 | 39 | 2026-04-13 15:26:53 |
| $245.0 | 33.23 | 36.08 | 46.5% | 5 | 7 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $247.5 | 31.40 | 33.98 | 52.0% | 11 | 9 | 2026-04-13 15:25:35 |
| $250.0 | 29.57 | 31.88 | 54.9% | 8 | 13 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $252.5 | 27.07 | 30.08 | 54.8% | 10 | 13 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $255.0 | 25.37 | 28.22 | 57.3% | 113 | 48 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $257.5 | 22.87 | 25.35 | 51.8% | 8 | 16 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $260.0 | 20.92 | 24.28 | 55.1% | 22 | 14 | 2026-04-13 15:27:03 |
| $262.5 | 20.33 | 22.16 | 58.3% | 22 | 24 | 2026-04-13 15:26:53 |
| $265.0 | 18.04 | 20.76 | 57.7% | 6 | 10 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $267.5 | 15.92 | 18.36 | 54.2% | 52 | 11 | 2026-04-13 15:26:53 |
| $270.0 | 15.07 | 17.03 | 57.0% | 6 | 5 | 2026-04-13 15:27:11 |
| $272.5 | 13.46 | 15.15 | 55.6% | 5 | 5 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $275.0 | 12.32 | 13.92 | 56.8% | 7 | 11 | 2026-04-13 15:26:57 |
| $277.5 | 10.60 | 12.39 | 55.1% | 6 | 10 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $280.0 | 8.76 | 11.34 | 54.0% | 88 | 13 | 2026-04-13 15:27:11 |
| $282.5 | 7.94 | 9.76 | 53.6% | 8 | 5 | 2026-04-13 15:27:14 |
| $285.0 | 6.93 | 8.98 | 54.3% | 11 | 5 | 2026-04-13 15:27:11 |
| $287.5 | 6.18 | 7.67 | 53.8% | 6 | 6 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $290.0 | 5.19 | 6.40 | 52.3% | 6 | 10 | 2026-04-13 15:27:02 |
| $292.5 | 4.15 | 5.63 | 51.5% | 6 | 9 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $295.0 | 3.45 | 5.13 | 51.9% | 6 | 8 | 2026-04-13 15:27:02 |
| $297.5 | 2.88 | 4.06 | 50.5% | 1 | 5 | 2026-04-13 15:27:11 |
| $300.0 | 2.23 | 3.08 | 48.4% | 1 | 2 | 2026-04-13 15:27:03 |
| $302.5 | 1.98 | 2.85 | 49.9% | 6 | 7 | 2026-04-13 15:27:04 |
| $305.0 | 1.68 | 2.45 | 50.2% | 18 | 17 | 2026-04-13 15:26:48 |
| $307.5 | 0.97 | 3.47 | 54.5% | 21 | 30 | 2026-04-13 15:25:35 |
| $310.0 | 1.02 | 1.77 | 49.8% | 59 | 26 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
| $325.0 | 0.08 | 1.07 | 53.1% | 127 | 80 | 2026-04-13 15:26:51 |
Earnings History: RCL
Royal Caribbean Group Reports Strong Third Quarter Results and Expands Destination Portfolio
Oct 28, 2025In the third quarter of 2025, Royal Caribbean Group reported total revenues of $5.1 billion, with a net income of $1.6 billion, resulting in an earnings per share (EPS) of $5.74. Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $5.75, reflecting an increase from the same period last year, where net income was $1.1 billion, or $4.21 per share. The company saw a load factor of 112%, indicating strong demand, as it welcomed 2.5 million guests during the quarter. Gross margin yields rose by 3.8%, and net yields increased by 2.8% compared to the previous year. Notably, gross cruise costs per available passenger cruise day rose by 2.7%, but cost growth was lower than anticipated due to effective management. Looking ahead, Royal Caribbean has raised its full-year 2025 Adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $15.58 to $15.63, which represents a 32% increase year-over-year. The company also announced plans to launch a new exclusive destination, the Royal Beach Club in Santorini, set to open in summer 2026 as part of its strategy to enhance its vacation offerings. As of September 30, 2025, the company reported a strong liquidity position of $6.8 billion, which includes cash and available credit facilities. The company has also been actively repurchasing shares and increased its quarterly dividend by 33% to $1.00 per share, signaling confidence in its financial health and future growth prospects.
Royal Caribbean Group Reports Strong Q2 Earnings and Boosts Full-Year Guidance
Jul 29, 2025In the second quarter of 2025, Royal Caribbean Group reported total revenues of $4.5 billion, with a net income of $1.2 billion, resulting in an earnings per share (EPS) of $4.41. The adjusted EPS for the quarter was $4.38, reflecting better-than-expected performance driven by high demand and lower costs, leading the company to raise its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance to between $15.41 and $15.55. The company experienced a load factor of 110% and a significant increase in gross margin yields, which were up 11.0% compared to the same quarter last year. The net yields also improved by 5.3% as reported. Capacity increased by 5.8% year-over-year, with 2.3 million guests enjoying cruises during the quarter. Royal Caribbean reported strong bookings for upcoming sailings, particularly close-in bookings, contributing to the company's robust performance. The new ships, Star of the Seas and Celebrity Xcel, are seeing high demand, and the recently launched Royal Beach Club Paradise Island has also attracted significant early interest. As of June 30, 2025, the company maintained a strong liquidity position with $7.1 billion in cash and undrawn credit facilities. Additionally, Royal Caribbean's capital expenditures for 2025 are projected to be around $5 billion, primarily focused on new ship orders and land-based destinations.
Earnings Release (Confirmed)
Apr 28, 2026HIGH
Strategy Overview
Jason Wheel is a systematic, AI‑enhanced trading framework built on probability theory and volatility‑based edge extraction. Designed for the US options market, the system focuses on constructing high‑probability Credit Spread strategies that capture Theta decay while maintaining strict quantitative risk controls to mitigate tail events and support long‑term, stable capital growth.
Rather than relying on directional speculation, the system operates as a closed‑loop asset engine integrating: Macro Risk Control, Multi-dimensional Quantitative Screening, AI-Assisted Decision Making, and Dynamic Position Management.
This architecture enables consistent, rules‑driven execution with an emphasis on risk‑adjusted returns.
Connect with Jason
- Substack: jasonwheel.substack.com
- Email: [email protected]