TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd | Semiconductors
$362.54
Data as of: 2026-04-16 14:04:09
ER: 2026-04-16
AI Execution Plan
Entry
$362.00
Target
$385.00
Stop
$355.00
STRATEGY NOTEBuy the dip (oversold bounce expected)
Fundamental Snapshot
Market Cap
35,901,780M
P/E Ratio
31.40
Beta
1.15
ROE (TTM)
35.1%
Div Yield
1.06%
Next Earnings
2026-04-16
AI News

TSMC Q1 2026 profits surged 58% driven by AI chip demand; raised full-year revenue forecast and capex for AI. Shares fell ~3.4% post-earnings amid geopolitical risks (US-Iran tensions, China blockade concerns) and competition worries.

Sentiment
"Mostly bullish long-term: AI demand exploding, capacity sold out to 2028, strong earnings/FCF. Short-term cautious: post-earnings selloff, geopolitics. Overall positive fundamentals."

Daily timeframe: Strong Sell overall. RSI(14): 41 (Sell), MACD(12,26): +0.32 (Buy), STOCHRSI: Oversold, Williams %R: Oversold. Short-term MAs sell, long-term buy. High volatility (ATR 3.74).

3-Month AI Outlook

Bullish. AI megatrend sustains 30%+ revenue growth, capacity expansions (Arizona fabs), analyst targets ~$440. Potential to $400+ despite near-term volatility from geopolitics/valuations.

Option Chain
Expiry:
StrikeBidAskIV %VolOITime
$265.00.030.0780.0%25382026-04-16 14:30:56
$270.00.020.0775.7%28242026-04-16 14:44:09
$275.00.010.0871.6%4612026-04-16 15:00:33
$280.00.060.0971.3%1362026-04-16 15:00:46
$285.00.080.1269.3%112026-04-16 15:00:30
$290.00.110.1466.8%11142026-04-16 15:00:42
$295.00.130.2064.7%4812026-04-16 15:00:45
$300.00.150.1659.6%13252026-04-16 15:00:53
$305.00.120.1854.8%1712026-04-16 15:00:52
$307.50.120.2454.0%83442026-04-16 15:00:51
$310.00.120.2652.2%1141032026-04-16 15:00:52
$312.50.180.2951.6%511182026-04-16 15:00:45
$315.00.210.5253.1%641422026-04-16 15:00:53
$317.50.260.6052.2%161252026-04-16 15:00:50
$320.00.320.3947.9%76492026-04-16 15:00:54
$322.50.440.5648.6%36792026-04-16 15:00:42
$325.00.480.6046.7%29332026-04-16 15:00:43
$327.50.590.7145.9%30582026-04-16 15:00:44
$330.00.760.7945.1%10302026-04-16 15:00:44
$332.50.910.9844.5%311522026-04-16 15:00:54
$335.01.101.2444.1%80502026-04-16 15:00:39
$337.51.301.5543.5%41782026-04-16 15:00:52
$340.01.631.8143.0%191312026-04-16 15:00:54
$342.51.952.2042.4%63702026-04-16 15:00:44
$345.02.312.5341.4%9712026-04-16 15:00:54
$347.52.833.0841.2%9192026-04-16 15:00:53
$350.03.523.8741.7%3532026-04-16 15:00:54
$352.54.134.3740.6%63222026-04-16 15:00:54
$355.04.835.2940.4%25112026-04-16 15:00:50
$357.55.836.2140.4%36232026-04-16 15:00:44
$360.06.897.0139.8%64122026-04-16 15:00:54
$362.57.918.9041.0%1411282026-04-16 15:00:48
$365.09.249.7340.0%63692026-04-16 15:00:53
$367.510.7111.1540.1%76272026-04-16 15:00:53
$370.012.1712.7540.1%9592026-04-16 15:00:44
$372.513.7514.5540.4%49142026-04-16 15:00:49
$375.015.2616.4440.3%88402026-04-16 15:00:52
$377.517.5318.1741.2%31272026-04-16 15:00:53
$380.018.8119.8438.6%119352026-04-16 15:00:52
$382.521.6821.9241.6%1352026-04-16 15:00:54
$385.023.3724.4141.9%35462026-04-16 15:00:50
$387.525.4827.1444.2%19232026-04-16 15:00:50
$390.027.4029.9646.0%17202026-04-16 15:00:44
$392.529.9130.7141.0%16262026-04-16 15:00:44
$395.031.0834.5943.7%17102026-04-16 15:00:47
$397.534.0436.9247.6%9162026-04-16 15:00:44
$400.036.9138.8248.7%25182026-04-16 15:00:44
$402.538.9240.7744.4%9202026-04-16 15:00:44
$405.042.2343.6954.4%982026-04-16 15:00:44
$407.544.5546.9059.5%982026-04-16 15:00:44
$410.045.9749.6857.3%1192026-04-16 15:00:44
$412.548.2551.4652.8%882026-04-16 15:00:44
$415.051.5553.0854.1%1192026-04-16 15:00:44
$417.554.2756.3363.4%882026-04-16 15:00:44
$420.055.1859.1855.4%11102026-04-16 15:00:50
$422.559.9161.9475.5%582026-04-16 15:00:00
$425.059.7764.6759.9%882026-04-16 15:00:44
$427.562.7965.9752.4%892026-04-16 15:00:44
$430.066.6568.5770.6%882026-04-16 15:00:44
$432.568.1370.4250.4%10102026-04-16 15:00:44
$435.072.8975.0991.7%872026-04-16 15:00:44
$437.573.3975.7264.8%9102026-04-16 15:00:44
$440.076.8077.5069.0%862026-04-16 15:00:44
$442.579.2282.5691.1%992026-04-16 15:00:44
$445.082.3584.9596.2%892026-04-16 15:00:44
$447.584.3686.5789.2%892026-04-16 15:00:44
$450.085.9390.1392.6%582026-04-16 15:00:00
$452.588.0092.8292.1%7102026-04-16 15:00:44
$455.090.8595.4297.2%8102026-04-16 15:00:44
$457.595.1796.26100.2%9112026-04-16 15:00:44
$460.094.4898.8856.5%9102026-04-16 15:00:44
$465.0100.73103.2281.4%10102026-04-16 15:00:00
$470.0105.93107.5570.2%15602026-04-16 15:00:45
$475.0110.60112.6950.0%11112026-04-16 15:00:44
$480.0111.14113.5295.1%20142026-04-16 11:45:50
$485.0123.24123.9783.8%10102026-04-16 14:30:04
$490.0122.90128.6067.6%19202026-04-16 13:29:56
$495.0131.10131.7373.8%16162026-04-16 13:15:07
$500.0132.77139.7358.9%18182026-04-16 13:00:51
StrikeBidAskIV %VolOITime
$265.096.93101.2668.5%42202026-04-16 13:29:48
$270.096.5699.8978.1%25202026-04-16 11:45:50
$275.084.8687.9667.4%10102026-04-16 14:30:04
$280.081.9886.01100.2%16102026-04-16 15:00:00
$285.077.0580.0883.1%1462026-04-16 15:00:44
$290.072.0375.1779.0%1882026-04-16 15:00:44
$295.067.5369.3666.0%1862026-04-16 15:00:00
$300.059.9463.7869.2%41222026-04-16 14:30:04
$305.057.3758.8553.3%1372026-04-16 14:45:47
$307.553.0355.4257.5%712026-04-16 14:30:58
$310.052.2555.1059.2%1492026-04-16 15:00:00
$312.550.2651.3443.7%892026-04-16 15:00:44
$315.047.8849.8058.6%892026-04-16 15:00:44
$317.544.8448.5761.3%622026-04-16 15:00:00
$320.042.8544.8453.3%18162026-04-16 15:00:44
$322.540.1241.5336.6%882026-04-16 15:00:33
$325.037.5039.6442.5%76352026-04-16 15:00:50
$327.535.4336.8541.6%1092026-04-16 15:00:44
$330.033.6435.3550.9%34442026-04-16 15:00:44
$332.530.3432.6241.8%27122026-04-16 15:00:44
$335.028.5529.7341.0%136982026-04-16 15:00:49
$337.525.8227.8340.2%18182026-04-16 15:00:44
$340.024.7325.4744.0%119352026-04-16 15:00:47
$342.521.9722.9039.4%29112026-04-16 15:00:45
$345.020.7721.0843.1%25182026-04-16 15:00:45
$347.517.3419.8740.6%1201182026-04-16 15:00:44
$350.016.2017.4741.1%56752026-04-16 15:00:46
$352.514.9915.6842.4%30272026-04-16 15:00:48
$355.013.1514.0341.8%11432026-04-16 15:00:54
$357.511.3212.0039.8%37392026-04-16 15:00:53
$360.010.4610.5941.2%10422026-04-16 15:00:45
$362.58.769.3740.5%501112026-04-16 15:00:53
$365.07.588.0640.3%88352026-04-16 15:00:54
$367.56.617.0240.7%21622026-04-16 15:00:50
$370.05.795.9740.9%51152026-04-16 15:00:54
$372.54.815.2240.9%11372026-04-16 15:00:44
$375.04.004.4140.7%68802026-04-16 15:00:44
$377.53.363.9141.3%67922026-04-16 15:00:54
$380.02.973.2141.6%54932026-04-16 15:00:52
$382.52.502.6541.6%48312026-04-16 15:00:46
$385.02.062.2041.6%23502026-04-16 15:00:54
$387.51.701.9042.0%51502026-04-16 15:00:45
$390.01.431.5942.3%37252026-04-16 15:00:46
$392.50.971.5342.5%1701552026-04-16 15:00:44
$395.00.991.1643.2%56312026-04-16 15:00:44
$397.50.671.1243.5%127742026-04-16 15:00:44
$400.00.810.8644.9%3502026-04-16 15:00:52
$402.50.680.9546.9%21502026-04-16 15:00:49
$405.00.550.7146.3%1501562026-04-16 15:00:45
$407.50.490.8448.9%33662026-04-16 15:00:40
$410.00.410.5848.0%69322026-04-16 15:00:44
$412.50.380.5449.2%781172026-04-16 15:00:54
$415.00.280.4549.0%98812026-04-16 15:00:46
$417.50.250.6252.3%1251252026-04-16 15:00:45
$420.00.200.5352.5%651372026-04-16 15:00:44
$422.50.190.4452.9%651232026-04-16 15:00:42
$425.00.220.5055.8%1491662026-04-16 15:00:44
$427.50.180.5257.3%531552026-04-16 15:00:51
$430.00.130.3555.5%601532026-04-16 15:00:44
$432.50.100.2253.9%4812026-04-16 15:00:45
$435.00.130.3057.8%43442026-04-16 15:00:34
$437.50.010.2154.1%16882026-04-16 15:00:34
$440.00.130.3862.4%111872026-04-16 15:00:44
$442.50.050.2759.8%471282026-04-16 15:00:36
$445.00.010.2559.6%501662026-04-16 15:00:42
$447.50.080.1961.3%451132026-04-16 15:00:44
$450.00.060.0958.4%1052026-04-16 14:49:44
$452.50.010.2764.4%441552026-04-16 15:00:35
$455.00.030.2766.4%532272026-04-16 15:00:44
$457.50.030.1362.8%11602026-04-16 15:00:53
$460.00.030.2869.4%652262026-04-16 15:00:53
$465.00.030.2972.4%11822026-04-16 15:00:42
$470.00.010.1267.5%361332026-04-16 15:00:44
$475.00.030.0562.4%291012026-04-16 11:15:19
$480.00.080.1473.4%1361402026-04-15 15:59:59
$485.00.030.3180.0%31342026-04-15 15:59:45
$490.00.010.2077.9%451272026-04-15 15:59:59
$495.00.010.1074.8%612026-04-15 15:59:59
$500.00.010.0777.7%1012026-04-16 14:51:03
Earnings History: TSM
Earnings Release (Confirmed)
Apr 16, 2026

HIGH

About Jason Wheel

Substack Email
Strategy Overview

Jason Wheel is a systematic, AI‑enhanced trading framework built on probability theory and volatility‑based edge extraction. Designed for the US options market, the system focuses on constructing high‑probability Credit Spread strategies that capture Theta decay while maintaining strict quantitative risk controls to mitigate tail events and support long‑term, stable capital growth.

Rather than relying on directional speculation, the system operates as a closed‑loop asset engine integrating: Macro Risk Control, Multi-dimensional Quantitative Screening, AI-Assisted Decision Making, and Dynamic Position Management.

This architecture enables consistent, rules‑driven execution with an emphasis on risk‑adjusted returns.

Connect with Jason