NVDA
AI Execution Plan
NVDA stock surged 21% in April driven by strong AI demand. Significant demand for AI products continues, with $2B investment in Marvell. Analyst average price target ~$270 (35%+ upside), consensus Strong Buy. Potential test at $212 level amid geopolitical risks.
Overall neutral per TradingView summary (oscillators & MAs neutral). RSI ~69 (bullish, nearing overbought), MACD bullish, Stochastic overbought ~95. Strong Buy on some analyses, but potential death cross (50DMA below 200DMA) approaching.
3-Month AI Outlook
Bullish. Dominant AI position, strong demand, analyst targets imply significant upside. Risks from competition, valuation, geopolitics, but forward P/E attractive and growth trajectory intact.
Option Chain
| Strike | Bid | Ask | IV % | Vol | OI | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $130.0 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 73.7% | 116 | 33 | 2026-04-10 15:59:59 |
| $135.0 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 76.0% | 93 | 190 | 2026-04-10 15:59:59 |
| $140.0 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 72.0% | 437 | 495 | 2026-04-13 15:21:30 |
| $145.0 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 81.0% | 293 | 544 | 2026-04-15 15:20:49 |
| $150.0 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 68.1% | 577 | 525 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $152.5 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 70.5% | 279 | 368 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $155.0 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 70.2% | 604 | 722 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $157.5 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 67.5% | 394 | 615 | 2026-04-16 14:37:38 |
| $160.0 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 64.6% | 308 | 383 | 2026-04-16 14:37:34 |
| $162.5 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 56.6% | 659 | 770 | 2026-04-16 14:37:39 |
| $165.0 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 59.2% | 281 | 470 | 2026-04-16 14:37:34 |
| $167.5 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 54.2% | 646 | 281 | 2026-04-16 14:37:34 |
| $170.0 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 53.4% | 15 | 639 | 2026-04-16 14:37:27 |
| $172.5 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 49.7% | 15 | 648 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $175.0 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 48.0% | 15 | 640 | 2026-04-16 14:37:38 |
| $177.5 | 0.26 | 0.27 | 45.3% | 772 | 491 | 2026-04-16 14:37:38 |
| $180.0 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 43.0% | 545 | 320 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $182.5 | 0.47 | 0.48 | 41.2% | 10 | 201 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $185.0 | 0.64 | 0.65 | 39.3% | 218 | 265 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $187.5 | 0.86 | 0.87 | 37.1% | 69 | 205 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $190.0 | 1.27 | 1.29 | 36.2% | 172 | 217 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $192.5 | 1.75 | 1.78 | 34.5% | 24 | 79 | 2026-04-16 14:37:39 |
| $195.0 | 2.47 | 2.50 | 33.3% | 60 | 7 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $197.5 | 3.47 | 3.52 | 32.7% | 338 | 16 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $200.0 | 4.68 | 4.71 | 31.6% | 322 | 5 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $202.5 | 6.27 | 6.32 | 31.6% | 87 | 39 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $205.0 | 8.07 | 8.08 | 31.1% | 123 | 143 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $207.5 | 10.02 | 10.35 | 32.2% | 26 | 114 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $210.0 | 12.32 | 12.53 | 33.5% | 80 | 43 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $212.5 | 14.77 | 14.87 | 36.3% | 2 | 73 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $215.0 | 16.93 | 17.27 | 35.5% | 6 | 42 | 2026-04-16 14:37:39 |
| $217.5 | 19.55 | 19.93 | 43.1% | 79 | 92 | 2026-04-16 14:37:38 |
| $220.0 | 21.66 | 22.43 | 41.4% | 54 | 54 | 2026-04-16 14:37:36 |
| $225.0 | 27.09 | 27.89 | 60.8% | 40 | 40 | 2026-04-16 14:37:38 |
| $230.0 | 31.58 | 33.62 | 71.1% | 14 | 20 | 2026-04-16 14:37:33 |
| $235.0 | 36.92 | 37.76 | 72.1% | 22 | 24 | 2026-04-16 14:37:32 |
| $240.0 | 41.91 | 42.88 | 72.2% | 32 | 32 | 2026-04-15 15:20:48 |
| $245.0 | 45.78 | 48.58 | 80.3% | 17 | 19 | 2026-04-16 14:37:20 |
| $250.0 | 51.02 | 54.05 | 88.8% | 19 | 19 | 2026-04-15 15:20:48 |
| $255.0 | 56.02 | 59.02 | 104.0% | 17 | 16 | 2026-04-16 14:37:20 |
| $260.0 | 60.11 | 62.96 | 100.0% | 16 | 16 | 2026-04-15 10:19:13 |
| $265.0 | 75.25 | 76.76 | 76.4% | 5 | 14 | 2026-04-13 15:21:23 |
| Strike | Bid | Ask | IV % | Vol | OI | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $130.0 | 56.24 | 60.97 | 82.3% | 30 | 4 | 2026-04-10 15:59:59 |
| $140.0 | 47.64 | 50.03 | 87.3% | 15 | 13 | 2026-04-10 15:59:59 |
| $145.0 | 43.72 | 45.34 | 100.2% | 5 | 35 | 2026-04-10 15:59:58 |
| $150.0 | 47.03 | 47.48 | 107.9% | 61 | 61 | 2026-04-14 15:21:54 |
| $152.5 | 36.01 | 37.67 | 80.2% | 22 | 18 | 2026-04-10 15:59:59 |
| $155.0 | 42.88 | 43.76 | 83.2% | 49 | 1 | 2026-04-16 14:37:37 |
| $157.5 | 31.26 | 32.46 | 70.8% | 15 | 16 | 2026-04-10 15:59:59 |
| $160.0 | 37.72 | 38.92 | 73.6% | 49 | 18 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $162.5 | 35.58 | 35.77 | 54.8% | 81 | 23 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $165.0 | 33.26 | 33.56 | 69.0% | 91 | 71 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $167.5 | 29.98 | 31.34 | 55.4% | 205 | 132 | 2026-04-15 15:20:47 |
| $170.0 | 27.90 | 28.54 | 48.2% | 72 | 39 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $172.5 | 25.70 | 25.96 | 51.0% | 126 | 115 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $175.0 | 23.11 | 23.59 | 47.4% | 60 | 36 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $177.5 | 20.89 | 21.09 | 47.7% | 94 | 37 | 2026-04-16 14:37:38 |
| $180.0 | 18.67 | 18.71 | 47.8% | 117 | 2 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $182.5 | 15.84 | 16.15 | 38.0% | 55 | 41 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $185.0 | 13.82 | 13.93 | 40.5% | 112 | 102 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $187.5 | 11.74 | 11.84 | 40.7% | 19 | 167 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $190.0 | 9.24 | 9.45 | 35.0% | 147 | 89 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $192.5 | 7.47 | 7.49 | 35.0% | 71 | 124 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $195.0 | 5.68 | 5.73 | 33.8% | 61 | 103 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $197.5 | 4.10 | 4.22 | 32.7% | 330 | 502 | 2026-04-16 14:37:39 |
| $200.0 | 2.92 | 2.94 | 32.1% | 3 | 93 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $202.5 | 1.94 | 2.00 | 31.7% | 40 | 36 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $205.0 | 1.29 | 1.30 | 31.6% | 69 | 47 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $207.5 | 0.82 | 0.84 | 31.8% | 108 | 166 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $210.0 | 0.53 | 0.54 | 32.3% | 491 | 139 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $212.5 | 0.31 | 0.36 | 32.8% | 239 | 363 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $215.0 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 33.5% | 180 | 762 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $217.5 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 35.4% | 490 | 208 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $220.0 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 38.0% | 503 | 347 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $225.0 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 41.0% | 347 | 655 | 2026-04-16 14:37:30 |
| $230.0 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 41.8% | 384 | 567 | 2026-04-16 14:37:40 |
| $235.0 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 50.8% | 1 | 565 | 2026-04-16 14:37:34 |
| $240.0 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 53.6% | 383 | 521 | 2026-04-16 14:37:34 |
| $245.0 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 55.9% | 11 | 519 | 2026-04-16 14:37:34 |
| $250.0 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 61.6% | 472 | 346 | 2026-04-16 14:37:34 |
| $255.0 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 57.4% | 473 | 381 | 2026-04-15 15:20:48 |
| $260.0 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 66.8% | 172 | 317 | 2026-04-15 15:20:48 |
| $265.0 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 69.7% | 838 | 311 | 2026-04-15 10:19:19 |
Earnings History: NVDA
NVIDIA Reports Record Revenue of $57 Billion in Q3 Fiscal 2026
Nov 19, 2025In the third quarter of fiscal 2026, NVIDIA achieved record revenue of $57.0 billion, an increase of 22% from the previous quarter and up 62% year-over-year. The company reported a net income of $31.9 billion, with earnings per diluted share (EPS) of $1.30. Meanwhile, NVIDIA's Data Center revenue reached a record $51.2 billion, marking a 25% increase from Q2 and a 66% rise compared to the same period last year. The company’s gross margins were 73.4% for GAAP and 73.6% for non-GAAP. Additionally, NVIDIA returned $37.0 billion to shareholders in the first nine months of the fiscal year through share repurchases and cash dividends. As of the end of Q3, the company had $62.2 billion remaining under its share repurchase authorization. Looking ahead, NVIDIA anticipates fourth-quarter revenue to be approximately $65.0 billion, with expected gross margins of 74.8% for GAAP and 75.0% for non-GAAP.
NVIDIA Reports Strong Q2 Fiscal 2026 Earnings with Increased Revenue and AI Advances
Aug 27, 2025In the second quarter of fiscal 2026, NVIDIA reported revenue of $46.7 billion, marking a 6% increase from the previous quarter and a substantial 56% rise from the same period last year. The company achieved a net income of $26.4 billion, which is a 41% increase compared to Q1 and a 59% increase from the previous year. Earnings per diluted share were $1.08, up 42% from the prior quarter. Meanwhile, NVIDIA's Data Center revenue reached $41.1 billion, reflecting a sequential growth of 5% and a year-over-year gain of 56%. The growth in this segment was bolstered by a 17% increase in revenue from the Blackwell Data Center products. The company also noted that it had no H20 sales to customers in China during this quarter but benefited from the release of $180 million worth of previously reserved H20 inventory. Additionally, NVIDIA returned $24.3 billion to shareholders through stock buybacks and dividends in the first half of the fiscal year. The company has $14.7 billion remaining in its share repurchase authorization and recently approved an additional $60 billion for future buybacks. NVIDIA's gaming revenue also saw significant growth, reaching $4.3 billion, a 14% increase from the previous quarter and 49% year-over-year. The launch of the Blackwell-powered NVIDIA GeForce RTX 5060 GPU contributed to this growth, becoming the fastest-ramping x60-class GPU in the company's history.
NVIDIA Reports Strong Q1 Fiscal 2026 Earnings Amid H20 Export Challenges
May 28, 2025NVIDIA reported revenue of $44.1 billion for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, marking a 12% increase from the previous quarter and a 69% rise year-over-year. The company posted a net income of $18.8 billion, with diluted earnings per share of $0.76. The results were impacted by a $4.5 billion charge related to excess inventory of H20 products due to new export licensing requirements. In the data center segment, NVIDIA achieved revenue of $39.1 billion, up 10% from the last quarter and 73% from the same period a year ago. The gross margins for the quarter were 60.5% on a GAAP basis, but would have been 71.3% without the H20-related charge. NVIDIA is expanding its AI infrastructure capabilities, having begun full-scale production of its Blackwell NVL72 AI supercomputer. The company also announced plans to build AI factories in the U.S. and collaborate with partners in Saudi Arabia and Taiwan to enhance AI development. Additionally, NVIDIA declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.01 per share, set to be paid on July 3, 2025, to shareholders of record on June 11, 2025. Looking ahead, the company expects second-quarter revenue to be around $45 billion, factoring in a projected loss of $8 billion in H20 revenue due to export restrictions.
Strategy Overview
Jason Wheel is a systematic, AI‑enhanced trading framework built on probability theory and volatility‑based edge extraction. Designed for the US options market, the system focuses on constructing high‑probability Credit Spread strategies that capture Theta decay while maintaining strict quantitative risk controls to mitigate tail events and support long‑term, stable capital growth.
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This architecture enables consistent, rules‑driven execution with an emphasis on risk‑adjusted returns.
Connect with Jason
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- Email: [email protected]